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North Carolina is 5-1 SU on the road. The Hurricanes, despite their struggles are 11-2 SU at home. Miami is holding opponents to 68.4 points per game while averaging 85. It’s very tough to so against the Tar Heels but this is a shorter line on the road than they had in previous games. The Hurricanes guard Wooga Poplar is expected to play while Kyshawn George is still questionable. If George is ruled in, this line could drop, but it’s still rather short for North Carolina.
There is some real track meet potential with these two teams, especially in their current form. Both teams play fast on offense, and while Miami's defense has been middling for most of the season it's the North Carolina defense that has regressed a bit over the last three games. On the season the Tar Heels still boast one of the best efficiency ratings in the country, but after 10 straight games of holding opponents to 70 points or less (10-0) they've given up an average of 79.3 points to opponents in their last three and gone 1-2 in those games.
This is not a vintage Jim Larrinaga Miami team, missing some of the key cogs like Isaiah Wong from last spring's Final Four qualifier, and nowadays struggling with three-point shooting and subpar depth. At the moment, Miami might be lucky to net an NIT bid, but still seems to be getting respect fromt he oddsmakers. A better case for UNC, off of a numbing loss to Clemson at home on Tuesday night, but previously on a tear thru the ACC, and not far removed from a ten-game win streak. Play North Carolina