Both the markets and models have adjusted Illinois' rating based on the absence of Terrance Shannon, but I think in big games like this they still might not account for how the Illini's best offensive option being gone will impact the total. Purdue is an excellent defensive team already, and while Brad Underwood has some counters that he's worked on it's going to be tough to be anywhere close to the team's season average. Also, Illinois' game plan here is going to neutralize Edey as much as possible as they are a strong team defending the paint.

This spread is so crazy. Yes, Illinois is without Terrance Shannon but that hasn't effected them at all yet. Their defense is still locked in as they are coming of a 30-point win over Northwestern, a team Purdue lost to. Illinois hold opponents to 41% on 2-pt field goals, 2nd-best in the country. Most of the Boilermakers damage comes from Zach Edey in the paint. If the Illini can slow him down, Illinois is live to win outright. Take the double-digit points with Illinois.