AJ Smith-Shawver hasn't been very good since returning to the rotation...

The White Sox are 40-27 with a +55 run differential at home...

Will the Brewers bounce back on Wednesday?...

The Red Sox have won 7 of their last 8 games...

The Cubs lead the majors with 5.23 runs per game and they're actually better on the road (5.49 RPG). They scored seven last night with PCA held in check. Brandon Pfaadt and the D-backs' bullpen shouldn't be a problem here.

This is a big number, but Gavin Williams has recorded double digit strikeouts in six of his last eight starts. The Angels are one of the most high-volume strikeout teams in baseball and haven't seen him this year. Great spot for another 10+ K.

Gavin Williams is one of the biggest K machines in baseball with 190 in 149 innings this season. The Giants' K rate is low, but increasing as the season goes. They struck out 10 times against Parker Messick Wednesday. Williams recently had five straight 10-K games. He only had five last time out, but there's no reason regression should be hitting.

The Astros offense hasn't been great lately, but Grayson Rodriguez is the perfect antidote. He comes in with a 7.71 ERA and allows opposing hitters to slash .283/.365/.511 against him. The Angels have a bad bullpen, too.

I'm playing a bit of a hunch here. He's had three days of extra rest and there were no reported issues in his bullpen. The lowered velocity was a concern and he only threw 65 pitches last time, but still struck out four. Before that? 6, 7, 11 and 8 K in his previous four outings. He'll strikeout six in six innings here.

We're gonna continue to ride that Fade the Mariners gravy train. They're now 23-36 on the road and 9-21 since July 5. Logan Gilbert is better than the first two M's starters in this series, but Max Fried is on the hill for the Yankees, and he's only given up 1 run in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs and Braves. Those offenses are much more capable than the hapless Mariners.

At this point, we might as well keep fading the Mariners. They are now 23-35 on the road this season and are 5-14 since July 20. This team is broken. The Yankees have offensive issues, but still managed to grab four in an inning late against this sorry Mariners squad on Tuesday.

The Padres are a vibe right now and the offense has been awesome in the second half, averaging over 5.33 runs per game. They tagged Kyle Harrison for eight runs in less than five innings. The Brewers' offense, meanwhile, is really struggling. In Robbie Ray vs. Dustin May, it's two trade deadline guys, but I'm grabbing the hotter offense in this one.

Though he had an off-game last time out, Sean Burke was dealing with the streaking Red Sox. Prior to that, he had double digits in strikeouts in three of his last five outings. He's gone over 7.5 K in six of his last nine starts and the Reds are a high-volume strikeout team.

The Mariners are a bad team. They are 23-34 on the road and have gone 5-13 since July 20. Bryan Woo is on the mound and he's got a 6.71 ERA on the road this season. Ryan Weathers goes for the Yankees and he has a 0.48 ERA in his last three starts.

The Red Sox are a runaway train at this point in every facet, but the pitching matchup especially favors them here. Ranger Suarez is still on a pitch count, but he'll be good for five solid innings. Luis Castillo has a 5.06 ERA and the White Sox are only 25-33 on the road.