Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
The Mariners have been red-hot with eight wins in their last 10, but they're still the only MLB team to strike out more than 10 times per game. Slade Cecconi has just a 6.3 K/9 rate in the majors, which is why this line is so low, but that's based on just 33 innings. He's a 9.2 K/9 rate pitcher in 10 times the innings at the minor-league level, including recording at least five Ks in all four Triple-A starts this year. I like a value play on his Over in the best matchup possible at the MLB level.
George Kirby doesn't have the underlying metrics or track record to be regarded as a 6-7 K per start kind of guy, but this year he's been at 6+ in 3/5 starts so far. That's giving us a line at 5.5 instead of 4.5 where I believe this should be. Also, the matchup with Arizona is not a good one for strikeouts by right handed pitchers, as they rank around the bottom five in strikeout rate. The number is moving but I just played this at -115 on DK so grab it there!
No lineup in baseball at the moment is stingier when it comes to striking out than the Diamondbacks. Kirby is a quality young starter, but he's not a big strikeout guy and if we look at previous performances he tends to stuggle in tough matchups. Well, it doesn't get much tougher than the D-Backs right now. There are very few pitches I wouldn't fade at this number against Arizona at the moment.