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    Alex Selesnick

    PropStarz

    An experienced poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and "The Early Edge," the popular daily betting show. He is 461-350 (plus 62.6 units) in the NFL entering the 2024 season, and 212-146 (plus 53.06 units) in MLB entering the 2024 baseball season. PropStarz appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and "The Early Edge" and publishes frequent articles with sophisticated analysis on SportsLine.com. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    +4238
    RECORD: 293-211-0
    # 1 NBA EXPERT
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks

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    Alex's Picks (2 Live)

    Apr 29 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    @ Phoenix
    Alex's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Will the Super Team avoid the first round sweep? ...

    Pick Made: Sun 2:15 pm UTC
    Apr 29 2024, 1:30 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    @ Phoenix
    Alex's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Devin Booker may play 48 minutes tonight. ....

    Pick Made: 12:17 am UTC

    Alex's Past Picks

    Apr 28 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    113
    @ Indiana
    126
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The Milwaukee Bucks will be without their two best players in Giannis and Damian Lillard who account for nearly 55 PPG, in addition to 36 FGA's. Brook Lopez is going to have to step up if the Bucks are to have a chance to survive. We know Indiana wants to get out and run and play out a break neck pace. I expect Lopez to get up a lot of shots and with Milwaukee likely playing from behind, it wouldn't surprise me to see him take 6+ threes in this game.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:01 am UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Pittsburgh
    2
    @ San Francisco
    3
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Winn is a 26 year old hurler making his 11th career start today. He's only eclipsed 6 Ks one time dating back to last season, so this number appears much closer to Winn's ceiling, rather than his floor. Speaking of last season, Winn's whiff rate is down significantly and leads me to believe he is running hot on Ks as well.

    Pick Made: Sun 6:24 am UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 7:30 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Clippers
    116
    @ Dallas
    111
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Getting this play out ASAP as Kawhi was just ruled out leaving Harden as the primary scorer. I believe this line is too high for him and if the same Dallas team that showed up in Game 3, Harden is unlikely to eclipse this combo line.

    Pick Made: Sun 7:11 pm UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 6:35 pm UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    3
    @ Texas
    4
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    While this would certainly qualify as a strong matchup against a Reds lineup that is 4th in the majors in K Rate, I don't believe Dane Dunning should be 6.5 versus any opponent. Dunning's underlying metrics leave a lot to be desired and considering he hasnt eclipsed 5 IP in three consecutive starts, in addition to 8 ER and 9 BBs, he's simply an auto fade at 6.5.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:18 am UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 5:40 pm UTC
    League
    Kansas City
    1
    @ Detroit
    4
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Michael Wacha is a solid veteran pitcher who eats innings and I like his chances to potentially turn in 6 IP against a Detroit offense that ranks 27th in OPS against opposing right handed pitching. Wacha has eclipsed this prop in 17/29 starts dating back to last season.

    Pick Made: Sun 2:00 pm UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    Arizona
    1
    @ Seattle
    3
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    No lineup in baseball at the moment is stingier when it comes to striking out than the Diamondbacks. Kirby is a quality young starter, but he's not a big strikeout guy and if we look at previous performances he tends to stuggle in tough matchups. Well, it doesn't get much tougher than the D-Backs right now. There are very few pitches I wouldn't fade at this number against Arizona at the moment.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:44 am UTC
    Apr 28 2024, 12:40 am UTC
    League
    Philadelphia
    5
    @ San Diego
    1
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    The Phillies got off to a slow start offensively and also racked up quite a few strikeouts but have been significantly better recently, in addition to a a lot more stingy in the K department. The Phillies are 18th in K rate and just 16th in OPS against opposing right handed pitching, however they have scored at least seven runs in five of their previous eight games. Dylan Cease is off to a very nice start, however 8 Ks is just a big number in what I would consider a tougher matchup than most.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:10 am UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 10:00 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    104
    @ Miami
    84
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Jaime Jaquez has had a solid rookie season for the Heat and has stepped up in the absence of Jimmy Butler. That being said, I believe the Heat are going to face an angry Celtics team that is going to first and foremost look to smother Miami similar to their game 1 performance. Either way this is a big combo line for Jaquez who just barely eclipsed this line in game 1 while shooting 50% from the field. Look for another dominant defensive effort from the Celtics who looked vulnerable in Game 2.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:27 am UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 10:00 pm UTC
    League
    Boston
    104
    @ Miami
    84
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Tyler Herro had a huge game 2 and led the Heat to a victory while splitting the series before heading back to Miami. This was a gutsy performance but I believe they caught Boston napping and I believe the Celtics will be motivated in game 3. Boston knows the key to stopping Miami is slowing down Herro and this is simply a big number for the combo guard.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 9:57 pm UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    0
    @ Baltimore
    7
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    I consider JP Sears a very underrated pitcher and this is often reflected in his pitching props. Sears is off to a solid start this season and has eclipsed this outs prop in 3 of his last 4 starts, all without throwing over 91 pitches. I would consider the Orioles a tough matchup as they boast a good offense, however they average the third fewest walks per game and they often swing at pitches early. I like Sears chances of starting the 6th inning barring a catastrophic outing.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:01 am UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 7:30 pm UTC
    League
    Oklahoma City
    106
    @ New Orleans
    85
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    CJ McCollum has had a rough start to the season and if the Pelicans are going to have any chance they will need a lot more production from him. McCollum was one of the Associations hottest players heading into the playoffs and was averaging close to 40 PRA over the final month and a half of the regular season. New Orleans is without their best player and usage monster Zion Williamson, in addition to Brandon Ingram being less than 100%. The Thunder have proven to be a tough team and matchup, but McCollum should be aggressive and will also have the benefit of playing at home.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:22 am UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 7:07 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    4
    @ Toronto
    2
    +2712.5
    47-17 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Better grab this line while it's out as I do not expect to be 6.5 for long. This is simply too big of a number for Kikuchi who has been held under 7 Ks in 21 of 37 starts dating back to last season. The Dodgers are very tough on opposing southpaws and possess the 9th lowest K rate, in addition to the 10th highest OPS. It also should come as little surprise that the Dodgers lineup has solid career numbers versus Kikuchi.

    Pick Made: Apr 27, 4:02 am UTC
    Apr 27 2024, 5:00 pm UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    89
    @ Orlando
    112
    +4238
    293-211 in Last 504 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    This is a big number for Jalen Suggs who averaged 19.4 PRA in the regular season. Suggs has performed well in this playoff series, however he hasn't received an increase in playing time, and this series has been paced down and featured minimal possessions. The Cavs were routed by an inspired Magic team in game 3 and I expect a much better effort, particularly on defense, and this would certainly qualify as an inflated combo line for Suggs.

    Pick Made: Apr 26, 5:29 am UTC