We saw this total fly over yesterday, when the Reds beat the Diamondbacks 14-8. Merrill Kelly has not pitched well as of late, and I expect that to continue tonight. Mike Minor is only making his second start of the season, and he gave up five earned runs to the Nationals in his debut. These teams have two of the worst bullpens in the league, and they should be worn out after yesterday's high scoring game. At home, the Reds score an average of 6.26 runs per game, but allow their opponents an average of 5.63. Also, the Diamondbacks' offense has performed slightly better on the road this season. Consider a play on the over.