The New York Yankees will look to close out the Cleveland Guardians in Game 5 of the 2024 ALCS on Saturday. New York scored two runs in the ninth in Game 4 on Friday to take a 3-1 series lead. Carlos Rodon is the scheduled Game 5 starter for New York (1-1, 4.66 ERA in playoffs), while Tanner Bibee is on the mound for Cleveland (0-1, 3.60 ERA).

First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Yankees are the -125 money-line favorites (risk $125 to win $100) in the latest Yankees vs. Guardians odds, while the Guardians are +105 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

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The model has simulated Yankees vs. Guardians 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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