Yankees vs. Astros odds, line, picks: Proven model reveals MLB picks for June 30, 2022 matchup

Two AL powerhouses clash when the Houston Astros (47-27) travel to play the New York Yankees (56-20) on Thursday evening, with the first pitch set for 6:10 p.m. ET. New York is a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Astros odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 8 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Yankees vs. Astros picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 12 weeks. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows New York right-hander Luis Severino will be on the mound. Severino can be in command with his arsenal of pitches. The two-time All-Star owns a blazing fastball along with quality changeups and sliders. Severino is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.38. He's recorded 9-plus strikeouts in three of his last four starts. 

The model also knows Houston third baseman Alex Bregman is a two-way force. Bregman has quick hands and a fantastic swing that sprays all over the field. The two-time All-Star is batting .241 along with nine dingers and 36 RBI. On June 28, he went 3-for-5 with an RBI. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Astros. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

So who wins Yankees vs. Astros? And which side of the money line has ALL the value? Join SportsLine here to find out, all from the model that has crushed its top-rated MLB money-line picks!

Here are the computer's selections for Yankees vs. Astros. Simulations run every 15 minutes and are subject to change. SportsLine members can always get the latest picks on the game forecast page.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros | 6/30 | 6:10 P.M. ET (See tickets at StubHub)

Money Line

Pick: Astros +105
Houston wins in 51 percent of simulations, bringing value at these odds.

Over-Under

Pick: Over 8
The model projects 8.8 combined runs.

Run Line

Pick: Astros +1.5 (-165)
Houston covers in 68 percent of simulations.

Projected final score: Yankees 4.5, Astros 4.3

Looking for the best picks against the spread, sharp plays on the total and props you can take straight to the pay window? Join Jonathan Coachman on The Early Edge as he speaks with SportsLine's top handicappers to preview the day's biggest games. We promise to keep it short and sweet and to put some green in your pocket. The Early Edge is in your feed every single day by 11 a.m. ET. Subscribe right here on YouTube to watch daily, plus don't miss The Early Edge specials and live shows!