We're three weeks into the 2024 NFL season and, to everyone's surprise, Andy Dalton is the only quarterback in the league who has had a game with more than 300 passing yards and three touchdowns. Dalton replaced former No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young as Carolina's starting quarterback and promptly led the Panthers to a 36-22 win over the Raiders. The over/under in that contest was 40 points, but Dalton's big day led to a comfortable over. The latest Week 4 NFL totals list the over/under for Panthers vs. Bengals at 47, so which side should you be playing in that matchup and which NFL point totals should you target for your Week 4 NFL parlay picks?

Before scouring the Week 4 NFL lines and making your NFL totals picks, be sure to check out the NFL best bets from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 184-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 38-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 8-5 on top-rated NFL total picks since 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated every snap of Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season and has revealed its best parlay picks. The five-line parlay could lead to a HUGE 25-1 payout!

One part of the five-line NFL totals parlay we can reveal: The model says we'll see the Over (42) hits in Saints vs. Falcons on Sunday. These two NFC South rivals combined to score 65 points when they last met in January and the Saints are averaging 34.3 points per game over the first three weeks of the season. This total is likely diluted by the fact that Atlanta is 3-0 to the Under this season but it feels like a matter of time until Kirk Cousins, Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts find their rhythm offensively.

The model also jumped on four other Week 4 NFL matchups where it says the over-under is way off, including an A-rated pick that hits well over 60% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see who to pick before locking in any NFL parlays.

So how many points are scored in each game and which over/unders should you include for a HUGE 25-1 payout? ... Join SportsLine here to see which teams cover the spread, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks!