After the Giants made the playoffs last year and even won a playoff game, many people screamed from the rafters that the underlying stats didn't match their record and that they were due for regression. If you're reading this, you probably know I'm clearly a stats-heavy analyst, but I thought they could stave off some of that negative regression thanks to the quality of the coaching staff. 

That certainly proved not to be the case, with the offensive line suffering major injuries at the outset of the season and the offense never recovering, even when it had either of its top two quarterbacks. Now that Tommy DeVito is seemingly in line to start for the rest of the year -- though don't count out Brian Daboll opting instead for veteran Matt Barkley, who's on the practice squad -- things went from awful to horrendous, and it's hard to see how the team can win a game moving forward.

The lookahead line for the Giants-Cowboys rematch, the first meeting of which ended 40-0 in the Cowboys' favor and began New York's 2023 troubles, was Cowboys -10, but the loss of Daniel Jones moved it to Cowboys -16 at many books once the lines reopened. The question is, is that enough?

Following the Jets game where the Giants somehow had negative net passing yards, I'd say definitely not. It didn't look like the Giants trusted DeVito to complete a forward pass in that game. Once he took over for Jones in Week 9, that seemed wise, as his first three attempts resulted in an 11-yard completion and two interceptions.

But after that, he was... actually not bad! I'm not going to sit here and tell you the Giants may have found the next Brock Purdy based off a game where they lost 30-6, but after the second pick, DeVito went 14 for 17 for 164 yards and a touchdown in what amounted to purely garbage time. That's a lot better than I expected when he came into the game after watching the results the previous week.

I think you still have to adjust the Giants down significantly with DeVito or Barkley at starter, and I have them as the worst team in the league regardless of which one it is. I also have the Cowboys in that second tier of very good teams behind the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers and Ravens in my spread power ratings. With that, I can say that I'd make the line Cowboys -17.5, meaning there's a little bit of value on taking the favorite even at Cowboys -16. But correctly rating the Giants is a moving target right now, and I may have swung too far in the other direction. This may be more of a wait-and-see week for what to expect from the Fightin' DeVitos.

If you need a refresher on how to build spread power ratings, why they're important for beating the market and how successful I've been with this system at SportsLine, check out the Week 1 version of these power ratings. You can also check out SportsLine on Sunday afternoons as I give my initial power ratings adjustments for each team to get ahead of the market openers before diving in fully for this Tuesday feature. Otherwise, we'll jump right in.

Which lines are several points off their power rating projections for Week 10? And which teams are being undervalued by the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 10 power ratings from the expert who's 535-450-30 on ATS picks from 2017-22, returning $3,532 to $100 players!