Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets will take on the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 35-16 overall and 23-4 at home, while Golden State is 26-25 overall and 7-19 on the road. Denver is ranked first in the Northwest Division; the Warriors are ranked third in the Pacific Division. The Warriors are coming off a 119-114 overtime loss last night to the Minnesota Timberwolves, and may opt to rest Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green against the Nuggets. 

Denver is favored by 11.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 231.5. Before you make any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 49-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

Now, it has simulated Nuggets vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks... If you're already a member, see the picks below!