The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Golden State Warriors to Texas for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday. Dallas is favored by 2.5-points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 217.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from SportsLine expert Matt Severance.

A well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005, Severance is on a stunning run: He is a blistering 88-34 his last 122 NBA money line picks, returning over $3,248 to $100 bettors during that span. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

The expert knows Golden State's offense is clicking right now. The Warriors are scoring more than 1.15 points per possession in the playoffs, and Golden State is putting up 1.22 points per possession against Dallas. Golden State leads the 2022 NBA Playoffs in assist rate and assists per game, and the Warriors are shooting 49.4 percent from the floor in the playoffs. The Warriors put up an average of 53 points in the paint in the first two games against Dallas, and Golden State is attacking at will.

He is also aware that the Mavericks take care of the ball at an elite level. Dallas was No. 3 in the NBA in turnover avoidance during the regular season, and the Mavericks are committing only 10.6 turnovers per game in the playoffs. Dallas also sports a 58.1 percent true shooting mark and a 37.9 percent clip from three-point range in the playoffs, and Luka Doncic is scorching. Doncic produced 42 points and eight assists in Game 2, and he is averaging 31.4 points per game in the postseason.

Now, Severance has set his sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors. We can tell you he is leaning under the total, and he's found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what he has to say before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And what critical x-factor makes one side a must-back? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the expert on a roll on NBA picks!