The Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors in a win-or-go-home matchup in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals on Tuesday evening at 9 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as the one-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds, while the Over-Under is set at 215.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Mavericks. picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Golden State guard Klay Thompson is a pure shooter with an effortless shooting stroke. Thompson is a constant 3-point threat who forces defenses to always account for him on the floor. The five-time All-Star plays sound defense on the perimeter and has terrific instincts. Thomspon averages 19.5 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. In Game 3, he finished with 19 points, seven rebounds, and three assists.

The model also knows Dallas star Luka Doncic brings legit small forward size and elite shotmaking ability to the guard position. Doncic is a top-notch passer and rebounds the ball very well. The three-time All-Star leads the team in points (32.1), rebounds (9.5), assists (6.2), and steals (1.8). He's dropped 40-plus points in back-to-back games. In his last outing, he logged 40 points, 11 rebounds, three assists, and two blocks. 

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks of your own.

Who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of Warriors vs. Mavericks spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!