The UNLV Rebels (6-1, 2-0) host the No. 17 Boise State Broncos (5-1, 2-0) in a Mountain West showdown on Friday. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, is at 10:30 p.m. ET. The Rebels have won two straight games and are 2-1 at home, while the Broncos come out of their bye week riding a four-game winning streak and are 2-1 on the road.

The Broncos are 3.5-point favorites in the latest UNLV vs. Boise State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 64. Boise State is a -164 (risk $146 to win $100) favorite on the money line, with UNLV listed as a +137 underdog.

Before making any UNLV vs. Boise State picks or CFB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 14-7 on all top-rated picks over the past four weeks of this season. Anyone following has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows the Rebels have the most productive offense in the conference and are good enough to be a ranked team. They have most notably gotten a boost from quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams, who took over under center following Matthew Sluka's exit. The veteran transfer from Campbell has compiled 838 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and just two interceptions so far this season. His presence has also opened the door for wide receiver Ricky White, who has 36 catches for 488 receiving yards in the four games that Williams has started.

The model also knows the Broncos have the advantage of being well-rested after their bye week. It's also aware of how good Boise State is with Heisman Trophy favorite Ashton Jeanty in the mix as he aims to break Barry Sanders' single-season rush record. Boise State will be going up against one of the toughest rush defenses it has seen all season, so all eyes will be on Jeanty to keep up his current pace.

The model has simulated UNLV vs. Boise State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Boise State vs. UNLV, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model that is 14-7 on top-rated CFB picks over the past four weeks!