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Tom Brady Fantasy football ranking: 2020 outlook, projections, ADP, value, predictions, stats

For the first time in 20 years, Tom Brady will play for an NFL team other than the New England Patriots. Should he rank inside your top-12 Fantasy QBs while throwing to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin 2020?
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Tom Brady finished as the QB12 and QB13 during the past two seasons, and that came with a diminished supporting cast in New England. We saw Brady finish as the QB4 in his age-40 season, and a return to the top-10 is well within reach with his talented new group of pass-catchers in Tampa. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Tom Brady Fantasy football outlook can you expect?

Brady joins a Tampa Bay offense that is loaded with weapons and has churned out some ridiculous numbers through the air over the past couple years. In terms of maintaining his own Fantasy relevancy, Brady couldn't have chosen a better destination. That might not necessarily be the case for Tampa Bay's receiving options, though, given a look at Brady's recent performance. Particularly, Mike Evans' Fantasy value seems to be on the decline with Brady replacing Jameis Winston.

The 2020 Tom Brady Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 4,500-yard campaign. He's a top-15 QB candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

Tom Brady Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)

No. 125.9 ADP
No. 17 QB

Tom Brady Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model) 

4,552 passing yards, 29.1 passing touchdowns, 13.3 interceptions, 29.4 rushing attempts, 40.5 rushing yards, 2.63 rushing touchdowns
353.8 Fantasy points (non-PPR)

Tom Brady 2020 Fantasy outlook 

Here's how the Bucs and Patriots compare over the past two seasons:

2019:
Tampa Bay -- 7th in pass-to-rush ratio, 1st in pass attempts, 1st in air yards
New England -- 19th in pass-to-rush ratio, 4th in pass attempts, 9th in air yards

2018:
Tampa Bay -- 6th in pass-to-rush ratio, 1st in pass attempts, 1st in air yards
New England -- 26th in pass-to-rush ratio, 10th in pass attempts, 9th in air yards

Now, Brady is a different type of passer than Jameis Winston or Ryan Fitzpatrick. His skill set in his age-43 season doesn't seem like a natural fit in Bruce Arians' vertical downfield approach, and it is likely that Tampa Bay will conform their offense to best fit their $30M investment. I wouldn't expect the Bucs to lead the NFL in air yards in 2020.

Still, there's no way to classify this as anything other than a massive boost for Brady's Fantasy value. The Bucs boast two of the NFL's premiere receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, PFF's second- and seventh-highest graded receivers in 2019.

With far better weapons and a more pass-heavy offensive scheme at his disposal, Tom Brady goes from late-round Fantasy QB fodder to a clear top-12 option with upside for more. His lack of rushing stats somewhat caps Brady's Fantasy ceiling, so I wouldn't overreact and reach for him in drafts. At his current ADP, however, Brady does project as as slight value.

Jacob Gibbs
Jacob GibbsDFS Guru

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