The No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves and the No. 2 seed Denver Nuggets collide for Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Tuesday at 10:30 p.m. ET. On May 12, the Timberwolves fell to the Nuggets 115-107. SportsLine consensus lists Nuggets as the 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 206 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Denver guard Jamal Murray is an effortless shot creator. Murray knows how to find his spots offensively, attacking from multiple areas on the floor. The Kentucky product averages 20.7 points and 6.1 assists per game in the playoffs. He had 19 points and eight assists in his last game.

The model also knows Minnesota guard Anthony Edwards generates impact plays on both sides of the floor. Edwards has a great first step to get past defenders and absorb contact in the paint. The former Georgia standout logs 32.1 points and 5.6 assists per matchup. In his previous game, Edwards dropped 44 points and five dimes.

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations!

Who wins Timberwolves vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!