The Texas Longhorns and Texas Tech Red Raiders begin Big 12 conference play when the two rivals collide on Saturday at Royal-Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Longhorns went 2-1 in nonconference play while the Red Raiders went 3-0. Kickoff is noon ET. The Longhorns are nine-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Texas Tech odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over/Under for total points scored is 62.5. (See the latest college football lines for all of this week's games on our college football odds page.)

Before you make any Texas Tech vs. Texas picks and college football predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Texas is coming off a ruthlessly efficient rushing performance. In last week's 58-0 victory against Rice, the Longhorns ran for 428 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 10.4 yards per carry. Three running backs -- Bijan Robinson, Roschon Johnson and Keilan Robinson -- each had touchdown runs of at least 60 yards in the game. The 428 rushing yards were the most for Texas since gaining 439 yards against Texas Tech in 2011.

The model also knows that Texas Tech has shown an ability to stop the run this season. Through three games the Red Raiders are giving up just 57.3 yards per game on the ground, which ranks ninth in the country. The team's 163 rushing yards allowed this season are its fewest through three games dating to 2000.

Now the model has simulated Texas vs. Texas Tech 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the total, and it has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins the battle between Texas and Texas Tech? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Texas Tech vs. Texas spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks!