A spot in the NFL playoff bracket will be on the line when the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans collide in a win-and-you're-in Week 18 matchup on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Both the Texans and Colts enter the game tied at 9-7 and would earn at least a wild card berth with a victory.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Houston is a two-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Colts odds while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before you make any Colts vs. Texans picks or NFL predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows that Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has had a sensational rookie season. The No. 2 overall pick in April's NFL Draft ranks fourth in passing yards per game (274.6). Despite missing two games with a concussion, his 3,844 passing yards this season is the fifth most passing yards by a rookie quarterback in NFL history.

The model also has taken into account that Indianapolis has a pass rush to get pressure on Stroud. The Colts rank fifth in the league in sacks (49) this season. They are the only team in the NFL with four players with at least seven sacks (Samson Ebukam, Kwity Paye, Dayo Odeyingbo and DeForest Buckner).

Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Colts. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Colts vs. Texans on Saturday? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Colts spread to back, all from the model on an incredible 181-129 run!