AFC North rivals will square off when the Cleveland Browns host the Pittsburgh Steelers at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday Night Football. Cleveland is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 38. Before making any Steelers vs. Browns picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows the Steelers have a stingy defense. Pittsburgh is giving up only 18.5 points per game, and the Steelers are creating a turnover on 25% of defensive possessions. The Steelers also giving up only 4.0 yards per carry on the ground, which is pivotal against Cleveland.

The model also knows the Browns are scoring on 52.4% of possessions, leading the NFL, and are averaging 28 points per game and 2.71 yards per drive. The Browns are elite on the ground, with 401 rushing yards and 5.3 yards per carry in two games.

Now, it has set its sights on Steelers vs. Browns. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Browns vs. Steelers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Steelers vs. Browns spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a 139-102 roll on NFL picks!