The Texas Rangers look to stave off elimination when they take on the Houston Astros in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series on Sunday night. The Rangers jumped out to a 2-0 lead over Houston but the Astros have reeled off three straight wins after a thrilling 5-4 victory Friday night.

First pitch in Rangers vs. Astros is set for 8:03 p.m. ET in Houston. The SportsLine consensus Rangers vs. Astros odds list Houston as a -124 favorite (risk $124 to win $100) and Texas as a +104 underdog on the money line, while the over/under is 8.5 runs. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before you make any Astros vs. Rangers picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows the Astros have been coming through in the clutch, and the reigning champs are playing at home in front of a fired-up crowd. Houston seemed spurred Friday by an eighth-inning incident where the benches emptied and Bryan Abreu and manager Dusty Baker were ejected. Jose Altuve hit a three-run homer in the top of the ninth to provide the winning margin.

The model has also considered that Texas got four runs on seven hits to chase Framber Valdez in the third inning in Game 2, and he is expected to get the start Sunday. Scheduled Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi allowed three runs but went six innings and struck out nine. Outfielder Adolis Garcia has four homers, including one Friday night, and 11 RBI in the postseason.

The advanced computer model has broken down Rangers vs. Astros from all angles and revealed its picks. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Rangers vs. Astros in Sunday's ALCS Game 6? And which team is winning in almost 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Astros vs. Rangers matchup you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!