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    Pirates vs. Dodgers odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for April 27, 2023, matchup

    SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Thursday's NL matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates
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    The Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates will go head-to-head on Thursday for the rubber match of a three-game series. The Dodgers won 8-7 on Tuesday but the Pirates rebounded with an 8-1 win on Wednesday to level the series up. Los Angeles is now 13-12 on the year but is fifth in the NL West while Pittsburgh is 17-8 and is first in the NL Central. The pitching matchup will feature Mitch Keller (2-0, 3.64 ERA) taking the ball for the Pirates while Julio Urias (3-2, 3.33 ERA) will be on the bump for the Dodgers.

    First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. Los Angeles is the -160 favorite on the money line (risk $160 to win $100) while Pittsburgh is the +135 underdog in the latest Pirates vs. Dodgers odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

    Before making any Dodgers vs. Pirates picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 26-21 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!  

    The model knows that Keller has had a strong start to the season after establishing himself as a capable member of the rotation last year. Keller had a 3.91 ERA over 29 starts and struck out 138 over 159 innings. This season, he's managed 30 strikeouts over 29 2/3 innings and he's managed a quality start in each of his last four outings. Offensively, the Pirates have been incredibly aggressive on the basepaths with new rules designed to entice more running this season in MLB. Pittsburgh leads the National League with 34 stolen bases through 25 games and also has a .771 team OPS that ranks fifth in the NL.

    The model also knows that Urias is one of the game's best left-handed pitchers after he won the ERA title last season. Urias went 17-7 with a 2.16 ERA in 2022 and over his last two seasons as a full-time starter, he's 37-10 with a 2.57 ERA and 361 strikeouts over 360 2/3 innings. This season, he's had at least six strikeouts in four of five starts and has a total of 30 punchouts over 27 innings. The Dodgers will be without slugger Max Muncy, who is on the paternity list after hitting 11 home runs in his first 22 games. However, James Outman will be in the lineup and he's made himself an early NL Rookie of the Year candidate with a 1.058 OPS and seven home runs with 19 RBI.

    Now, it has set its sights on Pirates vs. Dodgers. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.3 combined runs, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

    So who wins Pirates vs. Dodgers? And which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Dodgers vs. Pirates money line you should be all over on Thursday, all from the model on a 26-21 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks dating back to 2022!

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    SportsLine Staff

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