The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet for Game 4 of the NLCS at 8:07 p.m. ET on Friday. The Phillies lead the best-of-seven series by a 2-1 margin. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Philadelphia as a -133 favorite on the money line (risk $133 to win $100), while the over/under is set at 9.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows the Phillies have mashed their way through the playoffs. Philadelphia has 47 runs in nine playoff games, and the Phillies have an .883 OPS that leads MLB. The Phillies have 19 home runs and 20 doubles in the playoffs, and Philadelphia has a .862 OPS with 16 runs in three games against Arizona.

The model also knows the Diamondbacks are riding high after Game 3. Arizona finished in the top two of the NFL in strikeout avoidance, stolen bases, and triples this season. The Diamondbacks can also lean on Game 3 hero Ketel Marte, who is excelling in the playoffs. Marte has a .371 batting average and .657 slugging percentage in the postseason with six extra-base hits in eight games. 

Now, it has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Phillies vs. Diamondbacks? And which team has all the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!