The Denver Nuggets (40-19) will host the Miami Heat (33-25) in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals, when the Nuggets clinched the title with a 4-1 victory. Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET on Thursday at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds, while the over/under is 214 points, per SportsLine consensus. 

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The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

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