The No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels will square off with the Villanova Wildcats on Thanksgiving Day in the 2023 Battle 4 Atlantis semifinals at Imperial Arena in Nassau, Bahamas. After trailing at halftime, the Tar Heels used a second-half surge to defeat Northern Iowa 91-69 on Wednesday while the Wildcats cruised past Texas Tech 85-69 in their opening-round matchup. North Carolina is now a perfect 4-0 on the season while Villanova is 4-1.

The last time these two programs met was in the 2016 NCAA Tournament championship, which Villanova won 77-74. However, Jay Wright has retired and Villanova is coming off a 17-17 season under Kyle Neptune, so the Tar Heels are favored by 2.5 points in the latest North Carolina vs. Villanova odds and the over/under is set at 146.5 points. Before entering any Villanova vs. North Carolina picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 3 of the 2023-24 season on an 88-57 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anyone who followed it saw huge returns.

The model has simulated North Carolina vs. Villanova 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits nearly 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Villanova vs. UNC? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks. If you're already a member, see the picks below!