An ACC showdown has the No. 7 North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6) and the No. 9 Duke Blue Devils (24-6) linking up on Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Duke is a 5-point favorite in the latest North Carolina vs. Duke odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 150 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any North Carolina vs. Duke picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows North Carolina senior guard RJ Davis is a smooth three-level scorer with the quickness to blow past defenders. Davis is 10th in the nation in scoring (21.5) with 3.5 assists per game. In his last game, the New York native finished with 22 points, four rebounds, and six assists.

The model also knows Duke forward Kyle Filipowski has been a consistent force in the frontcourt. Filipowski owns a smooth jumper that spaces the floor and has a knack for piling up rebounds. He leads the team in both scoring (16.5) and rebounds (8.1). In the Feb. 3 game against UNC, Filipowski dropped 22 points and five boards.

Now, the model has set its sights on North Carolina vs. Duke. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! 

Who wins North Carolina vs. Duke, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 26-17 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!