The No. 12 Utah Utes will play their first official Big 12 conference game in program history when they face No. 14 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma on Saturday. Utah (3-0) defeated Baylor, a Big 12 team, 23-12 on Sept. 7 but given the two schools agreed to the game as a non-conference matchup while Utah was playing in the Pac-12, it didn't count toward either team's conference record. No. 14 Oklahoma State (3-0) is coming off a 45-10 win over Tulsa last week after defeating Arkansas, 39-31, in double overtime on Sept. 7. 

Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday at 4 p.m. ET. The Utes are 1-point favorites in the latest Utah vs. Oklahoma State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 54. Before making any Oklahoma State vs. Utah picks or CFB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also is coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows Utah is coming off 10 straight winning seasons, which has earned them the invitation to the Big 12 to compete with programs like Kansas State, Iowa State and West Virginia. Utah starting quarterback Cameron Rising is expected to start after missing last week with a hand injury. Rising has become synonymous with Utah football over the past few years as he's spent the last six years at the school. Rising sat out as a freshman in 2019 and was a medical redshirt last season with a knee injury. Rising threw for 3,034 yards and 26 touchdowns with eight interceptions in 2022 before missing 2023.

The model has also taken into account that Oklahoma State ranks 11th in college football in scoring at 42 points per game. The Cowboys have had an elite aerial attack this season, entering the week ranking third in college football in passing yards at 378.5 yards per game. Alan Bowman, in his seventh college season, returned as Oklahoma State's starting quarterback this season after throwing for 3,460 yards and 15 touchdowns with 14 interceptions last season. Bowman is completing 67% of his passes for 967 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions over the first three games of the season. The 24-year-old completed 24 of 31 passes for 396 yards and five touchdowns last week.

The model has simulated Oklahoma State vs. Utah 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value!

Who wins Utah vs. Oklahoma State, and which side of the spread is the better value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 13-9 roll on top-rated CFB picks!