NFL Week 12 teasers: Proven NFL expert ranks top teaser options, plus why to avoid the Browns
All three of the teaser options that made our rankings covered, and we needed the teased number for the Lions after they struggled for most of their game against the Bears. The Rams and then either side of Browns-Steelers ended up being good options as well, but the Commanders sunk any teasers where they were included after they couldn't stop Tommy DeVito and turned the ball over six times.
This week features just two potential teaser options among favorites, and one is the first game of Thanksgiving, so anyone who doesn't lock a teaser in easy is going to be faced with a decision of which team to tease up. One underdog I have no interest in teasing is the Cleveland Browns.
The Browns have one of the league's best defenses, and they've held opponents to no more than three points in three separate games. But their offense is going to be a problem with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. They lacked the ability to threaten downfield in the win over the Steelers, with their longest play going for 18 yards. Denver's defense ranks 32nd in yards per play but has played better since the Jets loss, allowing only eight touchdowns in their last five games. They've also secured 12 takeaways in their last three games, and Thompson-Robinson is likely going to give the Denver defense opportunities to add more.
But Cleveland's defense is going to shut down the Denver offense, right? Not necessarily. The biggest three yardage totals Cleveland has allowed came in its last three road games against Baltimore, Seattle and Indianapolis, a trio that averaged 31 points in those games. With Russell Wilson in the midst of a productive season, I could see him having similar success in this matchup as guys like Geno Smith and Gardner Minshew. I think the line is way off in this game, and I don't even trust Cleveland to cover a teased line in a low total game.
If you've read my other content or followed my picks, you likely already know I've been SportsLine's No. 1 NFL against-the-spread expert over the last six years, going 535-450-30 against the spread to put me up more than 35 units on those picks at SportsLine since 2017. When it comes to teasers, we stress focusing on the options that go through Teaser Alley and ideally lining up with sides you already like against the main number.
If you don't know what Teaser Alley is, read on to find out. Even if you do, I'll go through every game where I believe there's a teaseable number, give you my analysis of whether it's worth putting in our bucket of potential plays, and then ranking those plays at the end, with the top two representing the best teaser play you can make this week. But if you disagree with any of the analysis for those two teaser legs, you have all the info you need to find other teaser-worthy options.
Now let's get to the teaser legs I do think are worth considering.
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