The quaterfinals of the 2024 MVC Men's Basketball Tournament features the Missouri State Bears (17-15) playing the Indiana State Sycamores (26-5) on Friday at 1 p.m. ET. Indiana State is a 12-point favorite in the latest Missouri State vs. Indiana State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 148.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Missouri State vs. Indiana State picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Missouri State junior guard Alston Mason is an athletic, downhill playmaker. Mason has the ability to finish with both hands and owns a reliable jumper. The Kansas native logs 17.6 points and 3.6 assists per contest. In Thursday's win over Murray State, he had 22 points and three assists.

The model also knows Indiana State sophomore center Robbie Avila is an all-around threat. Avila scores from all three levels, gets his teammates involved, and rebounds well. The Illinois native averages 17.6 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game. He dropped 23 points and four assists in his last game. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Missouri State vs. Indiana State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value! 

Who wins Missouri State vs. Indiana State, and which side of the spread is the better value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 26-17 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!