A first round 2022 NCAA Tournament matchup is set between No. 7 seed Michigan State and No. 10 seed Davidson at 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday at Bon Secours Wellness Arena. The Spartans are 22-12 overall, while Davidson is 27-6 overall. Michigan State finished in seventh place in the Big Ten; Davidson was first in the Atlantic 10. 

The Spartans are favored by one point in the latest Michigan State vs. Davidson odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 140.5. Before you make any Davidson vs. Michigan State picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Michigan State vs. Davidson 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Michigan State vs. Davidson? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of th time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.