Week 3 of college football will get underway with a non-conference tilt on Saturday as the Memphis Tigers (2-0) and the Florida State Seminoles (0-2) link up. On Sept. 7, the Tigers beat Troy 38-17. Meanwhile, the Seminoles have dropped both games against ACC opponents. FSU head coach Mike Norvell takes on a Memphis program that he coaches from 2016-19.

Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. After opening at -1.5, the Seminoles are now 6.5-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Florida State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 54.5. Before making any Memphis vs. Florida State picks or CFB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 4-0 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows Memphis senior quarterback Seth Henigan plays with good rhythm and owns a strong arm. Through two games, he's completed 70% of his passes for 469 yards and three passing touchdowns.

The model also knows Florida State needs a bounce-back game. Senior receiver Ja'khi Douglas is the main weapon offensively due to his shiftiness and explosiveness in open space. Douglas has eight catches for 121 yards on the year. 

The model has simulated Memphis vs. Florida State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time!

Who wins Memphis vs. Florida State, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 13-9 roll on top-rated CFB picks!