Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals has the No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder hosting the No. 5 seed Dallas Mavericks on Thursday at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder beat the Mavericks 117-95 in Game 1. SportsLine consensus lists Oklahoma City as the 5-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 218.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Mavericks vs. Thunder picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Oklahoma City forward Chet Holmgren is a lengthy, two-way threat. Holmgren has been a dominating rim protector with the ability to score from all three levels offensively. The Gonzaga product averages 16 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 2.8 blocks per game in the 2024 NBA Playoffs. In Game 1, he had 19 points, seven rebounds, and three blocks.

The model also knows Dallas guard Kyrie Irving is a deadly offensive threat. Irving is super clutch and has a knockdown jumper from the perimeter. His ball handles are top-tier as well. The eight-time All-Star logs 25.9 points, 4.4 assists, and 1.9 steals per game in the postseason. 

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations!

Who wins Mavericks vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!