The Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys meet in a key NFC showdown on Saturday night at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Lions (11-4), who hold the third seed in the NFC playoff race, are 7-3 in the conference. The Cowboys (10-5), fifth in the conference, are 7-0 on their home field this season, and have won 15 in a row at AT&T Stadium.      

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are favored by 5.5 points in the latest Lions vs. Cowboys odds, while the over/under is 52.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Dallas is the -251 favorite on the money line.

Before entering any Lions vs. Cowboys picks, you NEED to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model knows Dallas is led by eighth-year veteran quarterback Dak Prescott, who has thrown for 11 touchdowns and been intercepted just once over the past five games. In 15 starts, Prescott has completed 353 of 516 passes (68.4%) for 3,892 yards and 30 touchdowns with just seven interceptions. He has a rating of 104.2, and also has rushed for 237 yards and a pair of scores. In seven home games this season, Prescott has thrown for 2,125 yards and 20 touchdowns with just two picks for a 122.5 rating.

It is also aware the Lions are led by veteran quarterback Jared Goff. The No. 1 pick in the 2016 NFL Draft by the Rams has had a solid year. In 15 games, he has completed 365 of 539 passes (67.7%) for 3,984 yards and 27 touchdowns. He has been intercepted 10 times, but has a rating of 98.3. In a 42-17 win over the Denver Broncos on Dec. 16, Goff completed 24 of 34 passes (70.6%) for 278 yards and five touchdowns.

The model has simulated Lions vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lions vs. Cowboys, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model on a 32-21 roll on top-ranked NFL picks!