These lines keep growing. Hour by hour. Day by day. It seems like an odd way to start the playoffs, as if some of the great unknowns from an unprecedented Week 18 have carried over. Quarterback intrigue remains a thing. With so many potential blowouts, what will these second-half scorelines look like? Could some coaches be able to manage these games to protect key players and simply win comfortably… in the playoffs?

There is much that gives me pause, I'll say that much.

As I wrote midweek, there are still some plays on team totals, first-half totals and first-half sides that I like, though in most cases not nearly as much as I did a few days ago. Again, things keep moving at a rapid pace. The 49ers to win the first half by a touchdown or more hasn't moved, and I like that play. The first half Under in Ravens vs. Bengals is also appealing, and I still see a difficult path to 16 points for that broken Baltimore offense. I still believe the Jaguars and Chargers, with two young quarterbacks, go Under 48 points.

But we've also reached a point in the week where most of the key props have begun to populate, and as we all know, those numbers will be on the move as well as more money begins to flow in this weekend. 

Here are some player props I like best.

• More Super Wild Card Weekend picks: Model | Parlay | DFS | Hartstein

Props

Dawson Knox Over 3.5 Receptions (+104)

Knox has 11 more targets vs. Miami than any other team in his career. He has 10 catches on 12 targets in two games against them this season and also has three touchdown receptions in seven games against the Dolphins. We are looking for payouts with real value, and this pays better than yardage totals. Miami ranked 31st in QB rating allowed when targeting tight ends (125.6) and gave up 10 TDs to the position. So, of course, I'm also going to sprinkle a little on…

Dawson Knox TD (+200)

He went 6-for-8 for 98 yards and a TD against Miami a few weeks back. I could easily see him doing something similar in this one.

George Kittle TD (+120)

Like Miami, the Seahawks stink against TEs, allowing 9.05 yards per attempt to them (31st), with 8 TDs. Kittle went 4-for-5 for 93 yards and 2 TDs in the one game he played against Seattle this season. Brock Purdy is playing in his first playoff game, which means Kyle Shanahan will simplify things and a TE will be Purdy's best friend. Look for plenty of short and intermediate stuff and a go-to role for Kittle in the red zone.

Brock Purdy Interception (+104)

There will be jitters for Mr. Irrelevant. This Seattle defense just got a recent look at him and Pete Carroll will come up with a robber look or two. Seattle has some playmaking corners. I'm just sayin'.

Christian McCaffrey Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-103)

Like I said, Shanahan will be conservative here and could be content to road grade the Seahawks. The 49ers held the ball for at least 33 minutes in each prior meeting and amassed 380 yards on the ground. I could see a script for 34 or more rushes and I'm banking on their top dog getting at least half of them. McCaffrey has averaged 29 touches per games against Seattle for his career, the most against any foe.

Geno Smith Longest Pass Under 35.5 Yards (-117)

Two of Smith's five lowest yards per attempt averages of the season came against this San Francisco defense. There have been almost no explosive plays. Nick Bosa vs. overmatched tackles is going to make Seattle think twice about seven-stop drops.

Daniel Jones Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+104)

Brian Daboll will unleash his quarterback against a terrible defense with everything on the line. Jones put up 334 yards in the first meeting and I really like the way receivers Richie James and Isaiah Hodgins played down the stretch. Daniel Bellinger could be a problem for the Vikings too. Rather than gamble on which of those targets gets fed the most, I like Jones to keep pace with Kirk Cousins in what I expect will be a game played with a total over 50.

Saquon Barkley Over 99.5 Scrimmage Yards (-117)

I like Barkley as a do-everything back with the season on the line coming off essentially a bye week. Daboll will get funky in the option game with him and Jones. We saw Barkley get 14 carries and 10 targets in the first meeting with Minnesota. He will be a problem for this defense.

Tom Brady Over 42.5 Attempts (-104)

The Buccaneers can't run the ball and they know it. I don't see them attempting to do so very often here. In the final six weeks of the season – with everything on the line – Brady threw 263 passes, 27 more than anyone else. He averaged 43.8 attempts per game, and that's with him only playing one half in Week 18. His passing attempt totals the last six full games he has played: 45, 48, 44, 55, 54, 43. The Dallas defense has suffered down the stretch. The Cowboys allow 27.2 points per game on grass this season. Brady will use underneath throws – in volume – to offset the league's worst run game.

Joe Burrow Longest Completion Under 37.5 Yards (-113)

Baltimore completely reimagined its defense under rookie coordinator Mike Macdonald, leaning far more heavily on Cover 3 and Cover 6 looks. He's barely blitzed at all against the Bengals in two meetings, keeping everything in front of the safeties and limited noted Ravens killer Ja'Marr Chase to just 68 yards per game. They'll force Burrow to embrace shorter stuff and that will be enough to beat a Ravens team with an inept offense. But I am betting against explosive plays here.

Austin Ekeler Under 92.5 Scrimmage Yards (-115)

The Jaguars defend the running back in the passing game as well as any team in the league and the Chargers have struggled to run the ball with any consistency.

Travis Etienne Over 16.5 Carries (-101)

Doug Pederson was running on early downs last week against an elite Titans run defense, knowing he wouldn't get much. But the Chargers are the worst run-stopping team in the NFL per EPA and Defensive Success Rate, and Pederson's team ran 36 times in their Week 3 thrashing of the Bolts. Etienne was still early in his comeback from knee surgery then and James Robinson was the workhorse. But he's long gone and I see Pederson looking at 35-ish carries as a benchmark with his young QB in his playoff debut. The Jags were ninth in yards per carry; the Chargers were 32nd in yards per carry allowed (5.42).

Dolphins at Bills Same-Game Parlay (+950)

• Dawson Knox TD
• Devin Singletary Over 46.5 Rushing Yards
• Josh Allen Longest Pass Over 36.5 Yards

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