The Miami Heat will look to maintain their spot alone atop the Eastern Conference when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday at FTX Arena in Miami. The Heat (37-20) own the best record in the East and a half-game lead over the Bulls. Meanwhile the Mavericks (33-24) sit in fifth place in the Western Conference. 

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Mavericks odds while the Over/Under is 209.5. 

Before making any Mavericks vs. Heat picks or NBA predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say. (Check out the odds of every game on SportsLine's NBA odds page.)

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 67-39 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Bam Adebayo is on a roll. In his last six games, the 6-foot-9, 255-pound big from Kentucky is averaging 23.2 points, a significant improvement over his season average of 18.7 points per game, while shooting 57.9 percent from the field. He also is pulling down 10.8 rebounds per game during that stretch.

The model also knows that Luka Doncic is on a historic hot streak. The Dallas point guard has scored 96 points over his last two games -- both against the Clippers -- while shooting 54.2 percent from the field and 48.1 percent from behind the 3-point arc. The 96 points are the most in a two-game span by any NBA player this season and the most ever by a Maverick.

Now, the model has simulated Heat vs. Mavericks 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, predicting a combined 215 points, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Heat spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.