The Miami Heat travel to Texas to face the Dallas Mavericks in a prime time showdown at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as the 2-point favorite while the over/under is set at 218 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Heat vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat are outstanding on defense. Miami is in the top five of the league in defensive efficiency, giving up 111.1 points per 100 possessions, and the Heat lead the NBA in free throw prevention with 20.7 attempts per game. Miami is in the top three in turnovers created and steals while sitting atop the league in allowing only 44.3 points in the paint per game. The model also knows the Mavericks are difficult to defend. Dallas is scoring 1.15 points per possession this season, a top-five mark, and the Mavericks are committing only 12.5 turnovers per game. Dallas is also in the top three in free throw prevention and 2-point defense.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Mavericks. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Mavericks spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!