Heat vs Magic line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Friday matchup
The Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic square off in an in-state battle at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. Miami is favored by 7.5 points on the road via Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 204.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Heat vs. Magic picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 44-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.
The model knows the Heat are strong on both ends. Miami ranks in the top ten of the NBA in offensive and defensive efficiency, out-scoring opponents by more than three points per 100 possessions. The Heat are in the top five in shooting efficiency and assist rate on offense, with above-average marks in free throw shooting, offensive rebounding and three-point accuracy. Miami is also allowing opponents to shoot less than 44 percent from the floor this season, and no team is allowing fewer points in the paint (39.5 per game) than the Heat.
The model also knows the Magic do a good job on the offensive glass, securing 27.2 percent of missed shots. Orlando is also above-average in connecting from long distance, averaging 12.2 three-pointers per game. On defense, the Magic keep opponents off the free throw line at an above-average level, with top-eight marks in fast break points allowed (11.1 per game) and points allowed in the paint (43.2 per game). Miami is just No. 28 in the NBA in three-pointers, and Orlando can bank on the Heat to turn the ball over with a bottom-10 mark in ball security for Miami.
Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Magic. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.
Who wins Heat vs. Magic? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Magic spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!
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