The No. 1 seed Boston Celtics have a chance to end the series against the No. 8 seed Miami Heat on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Boston as the 14-point favorite, while the over/under is 200.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 92-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston forward Jayson Tatum is an all-around threat. Tatum scores from all three levels and is an active presence on the glass. The Duke product also gets his teammates involved. He leads the team in scoring (23.2), rebounds (10), and assists (6). In his last outing, Tatum tallied 20 points, 11 boards, and five assists. 

The model also knows Miami center Bam Adebayo continues to be a two-way force with Jimmy Butler (knee) and others out for Miami. Adebayo plays superb defense on the perimeter and in the lane. Offensively, he plays inside-out, torching opponents in the paint. The 26-year-old leads the team in both points (22.5) and rebounds (10.5). In Game 4, he had 25 points and 17 boards. 

The model has simulated Heat vs. Celtics 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Heat vs. Celtics, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 92-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!