The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics meet for a rematch of the Eastern Conference Finals at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Celtics as 8-point favorites, while the over/under is 218 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model finished the 2022-23 NBA season on a 72-39 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat bring a top-tier defense. Miami allowed fewer than 1.13 points per possession last season. The Heat also finished in the top five of the NBA in free throw prevention, free throw creation, and defensive rebound rate, with elite metrics in walling off the paint and preventing fast break opportunities. The model also knows the Celtics are fantastic on offense dating back to last year. Boston was No. 2 in the NBA in offensive rating (117.3) during the 2022-23 season. The Celtics also shot 37.7% from 3-point range and 81.2% at the line while producing twice as many assists as turnovers.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Celtics. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!