Game 1 of the 2023 Eastern Conference Finals pits the Boston Celtics against the Miami Heat at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at TD Garden. Boston is favored by 8.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 213. Before making any Heat vs. Celtics picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat are swarming on defense during the playoffs. Miami is giving up only 1.11 points per possession in postseason games, with opponents shooting only 45.5% from the field and 33.8% from 3-point range against the Heat. The Heat are also giving up only 43.5 points in the paint and 10.6 fast break points per game, with Miami leading the 2023 NBA Playoffs in scoring 20.4 points per game off turnovers.

The model also knows the Celtics combine a strong defense with an elite offense. Boston finished No. 2 in the NBA in offensive efficiency during the regular season, and the Celtics are generating more than 1.18 points per possession in playoff games. The Celtics also lead the postseason in 3-point accuracy (39.5%) and true shooting percentage (60.7%) with more than twice as many assists as turnovers. 

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Celtics. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Celtics spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model on a 72-38 roll on NBA picks!