The No. 1 seed Milwaukee Bucks take on the No. 8 seed Miami Heat in Game 1 of a first-round playoff matchup at 5:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Milwaukee is favored by 9.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 221 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Heat vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the 2023 NBA Play-in Tournament a stunning 71-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat held opponents to fewer than 110 points per game this season. Miami also creates almost 16 turnovers per game, including 8.0 steals per game, and the Heat yield only 21.1 free throw attempts per game. The model also knows the Bucks have an elite defense. Milwaukee gave up fewer than 1.11 points per possession this season, and those numbers improve with key players on the floor. The Bucks are also in the top five in opponent shooting and defensive rebound rate, closing possessions effectively.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Bucks. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Bucks spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!