Hawks vs. Mavericks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Sunday matchup
The Atlanta Hawks visit the Dallas Mavericks in a cross-conference matchup at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday. Dallas is favored by two points at home, while the Over-Under is set at 222 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Hawks vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.
The model knows Atlanta's offense is virtually unstoppable. The Hawks are scoring more than 1.13 points per possession this season, ranking No. 2 in the NBA in efficiency. Atlanta leads the NBA in turnover avoidance, committing only 12.3 giveaways per game, and the Hawks are also leading the way in three-point accuracy at 37.6 percent. The Hawks are in the top ten in field goal percentage, free throw attempts and free throw accuracy.
The model also knows the Mavericks are elite in ball security in two-point shooting and ball security on offense. However, the defense is the story for Dallas. The Mavericks are giving up 1.07 points per possession, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Dallas is No. 4 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate at 74.1 percent. The Mavericks are in the top six in three-pointers allowed and three-point accuracy allowed, with the No. 8 ranking in the NBA in free throw prevention.
Now, it has set its sights on Hawks vs. Mavericks. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.
Who wins Hawks vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. Mavericks spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!
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