The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat get together for Game 1 of a first round NBA Playoff series at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Miami is favored by 6.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 219.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 85-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Hawks are capable of big things on offense. Atlanta finished the regular season with the second-most efficient offense in the NBA, and the Hawks led the NBA in turnover avoidance. Trae Young was a big part of that success, averaging 28.4 points and 9.7 assists per game, and Young led the NBA in total points and total assists. The Hawks also connect on more than 37 percent of three-point attempts and more than 81 percent of free throw attempts, boosting overall efficiency and effectiveness.

The model also knows the Heat have the firepower to excel on defense. Miami ranks in the top four of the NBA in defensive efficiency, allowing only 108.4 points per 100 possessions. The Heat are No. 2 in the league in three-point defense and No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed. No team allows fewer points in the paint (41.3 per game) than Miami, and the Heat are in the top five in turnover creation and assists allowed. Miami also ranks in the top ten in second-chance points allowed and defensive rebound rate, preventing opponents from doing damage on the offensive glass.

Now, it has set its sights on Hawks vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Hawks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. Heat spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!