A 2-1 series lead will be on the line when the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Memphis Grizzlies in a crucial Game 3 of their best-of-seven first round Western Conference playoff series on Thursday at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves stunned the second-seeded Grizzlies in the opening game of the series, 130-117, on Saturday. Memphis bounced back in Game 2 on Tuesday night with a 124-96 blowout victory. 

Tip-off for Game 3 is 7:30 p.m. ET. Memphis is listed as a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the Over/Under for total points scored is 237.5. 

Before making any Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies picks or NBA playoff predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say. (Check out the odds of every game on SportsLine's NBA odds page.)

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-56 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Minnesota could not contain Ja Morant in Game 2. A finalist for the NBA Most Improved Player award, Morant had 23 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds and made 9-of-16 shots in a dominant performance. Had Karl-Anthony Towns' knee not hit Morant in the thigh on a screen in the second half, he likely would've earned a triple-double.

The model also knows that Minnesota is the most prolific 3-point shooting team in the NBA. The Timberwolves made 1,211 3-pointers during the regular season, which was 19 more than the next closest team, Utah. Malik Beasley led the team with 240 threes. So far this series, Minnesota has made 27 3-pointers.

Now, the model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under the total, predicting a combined 228 points, and it also says one side of the spread has ALL the value. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves? And which side of the spread has ALL the value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.