The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels link up against the No. 9 seed Florida State Seminoles in the quarterfinals of the 2024 ACC Tournament on Thursday at noon ET. North Carolina is a 10.5-point favorite in the latest Florida State vs. North Carolina odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 154.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Florida State vs. North Carolina picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters 2024 conference championship week on a 145-104 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 28-18 (+820) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows North Carolina senior guard RJ Davis is a consistent playmaker. Davis scores from all three levels with ease and uses his quickness to get past defenders. The New York native logs 21.1 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. On Mar. 5, Davis totaled 22 points, four rebounds, and six assists. 

The model also knows Florida State junior forward Jamir Watkins has been a downhill, athletic bucket-getter. Watkins has a knack for drawing contact and putting defenders in tough situations. He leads the team in scoring (15.1) and rebounds (5.9). In Wednesday's win over Virginia Tech, Watkins had 34 points, 11 rebounds, and four steals. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Florida State vs. North Carolina. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! 

Who wins Florida State vs. North Carolina, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 28-18 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!