An NFC South battle is on tap between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta is 7-9 overall and 2-5 at home, while New Orleans is 8-8 overall and 5-3 on the road. 

New Orleans is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Saints odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 40. Before you make any Saints vs. Falcons picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021 season on an incredible 135-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated Falcons vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Falcons vs. Saints? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks... If you're already a member, see the picks below!