The Indianapolis Colts will take on the Atlanta Falcons in a Christmas Eve battle on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Atlanta is 6-8 overall and 4-3 at home, while Indianapolis is 8-6 overall and 5-2 on the road. The Colts are coming off a dominant 30-13 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, while the Falcons have lost two straight after falling 9-7 to the Carolina Panthers in Week 15. 

Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET. The Falcons are favored by 3 points in the latest Falcons vs. Colts odds, and the over/under is 44.5 points. Before locking in any Falcons vs. Colts picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has simulated Falcons vs. Colts 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Colts vs. Falcons, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that's on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks!