The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots will begin AFC East play when the two division-rivals collide on Sunday Night Football. The Dolphins (1-0) started the season with a wild 36-24 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in arguably the most entertaining game in Week 1. The Patriots (0-1) dropped their season-opener to the Eagles, 25-20. With the defeat, New England has lost three straight season openers for the first time since 1992-94. 

Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET. Miami is a 2-point favorite in the latest Dolphins vs. Patriots odds while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Patriots vs. Dolphins picks or NFL predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-114 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows that Tua Tagovailoa has had success in his career against Bill Belichick and the Patriots. The lefty quarterback is a perfect 4-0 in his career against Belichick and New England, completing 68.5% of his passes over those four games. Tagovailoa can become just the second quarterback to ever beat Belichick in five straight starts, joining the Steelers' Neil O'Donnell, who beat the coach six straight times from 1993-95.

The model also has taken into account that New England has arguably the best pass-rushing duo in the league in Matthew Judon and Josh Uche. The two have combined for 29.0 sacks since the 2022 season, the most by any duo in the NFL. Both Judon and Uche registered a sack last week against the Eagles.

Now, the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Patriots. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Patriots vs. Dolphins on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Patriots spread to back, all from the model that's on an incredible 163-114 run on top-rated NFL picks!