Dolphins vs. Eagles NFL Week 7 odds, props: MVP candidate showdown between former Alabama QBs Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts in possible Super Bowl 58 preview

While NFL fans have been subjected to some awful primetime games this season – usually involving the Giants or Jets – the Sunday night game in Week 7 is one of the marquee matchups of the year and has storylines galore as the Miami Dolphins visit the Philadelphia Eagles with former Alabama quarterbacks, friends and MVP candidates Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts squaring off. The Eagles opened at -2.5 on the SportsLine consensus but are down to -2 with fairly split spread action.

Miami leads the AFC East at 5-1 and Tagovailoa is once again the favorite to win NFL MVP at DraftKings, priced +350. He had fallen out of the favored spot entering Week 7, but Buffalo's Josh Allen (then the favorite, now +700) had a bit of a rough game in a win over the Giants, while Tagovailoa and the record-setting Dolphins offense kept rolling in a 42-21 win over Carolina. Tagovailoa was 21-for-31 for 262 yards and three scores -- hardly his best numbers of the year, but he didn't have to do all that much against an overmatched Panthers team with the running game also working well.

Tagovailoa leads the NFL in passing yards (1,876) and passer rating (114.1) and is tied for first with 14 TD passes. If Tagovailoa wins the QB Triple Crown, he will win MVP.  That's if teammate Tyreek Hill doesn't siphon off some votes with a historic season.  

Hill's 814 receiving yards are the most by a player in his team's first six games of a season in the Super Bowl era and the second-most by a player in his team's first six games of a season in NFL history (Don Hutson had 819 in 1942). He is the first player ever to record at least 150 receiving yards in four of his team's first six games of a season. He also leads the league with six TD catches and is the fifth player ever to record at least six touchdown receptions in each of his first eight seasons. Hill is still a +4000 longshot as no receiver has won MVP, but is a +135 leader for Offensive Player of the Year.

Miami leads the NFL in passing yards per game (316.8), rushing yards per game (181.8), passing TDs (15) and rushing TDs (15). It is the first team in league history to average age least 300 passing and 180 rushing yards in any six-game span. Its 223 points are the fifth-most points by a team in its first six games of a season in the Super Bowl era. Miami's 2,992 yards of offense are the second most in any team's first six games of a season in NFL history, trailing only the 2000 St. Louis Rams (3,056 yards).

The Dolphins are given an over/under team total of 25.5 points for Sunday. Philadelphia had the NFL's No. 1 pass defense by far last year but is middle-of-the-back in 2023. Philly does have the only two NFL players with at least 100 passes defensed since 2016: cornerbacks James Bradberry (103) and Darius Slay (102).

Philadelphia leads the NFC East at 5-1 and was the last NFL team to lose for a second straight season, albeit only by a few hours last Sunday as Philly was upset at the Jets. Hurts had a rough game with three picks and has already thrown more interceptions (seven) in six games than he did all of last season when Hurts as the MVP runner-up. He's +750 to win it this year.

You may remember Hurts was the starter at Alabama in 2016 and '17 and led the Tide to the national championship game in both seasons. However, he badly struggled in the first half of the title game following the 2017 campaign vs. Georgia and was replaced for the second half by a relatively unknown Tagovailoa, who led the comeback overtime victory to kickstart his ascension.

Tagovialoa was the starter for the 2018 season with Hurts as the backup, although Hurts relieved an injured Tagovailoa in the SEC title game and led a comeback win over Georgia. Hurts transferred to Oklahoma for the 2019 campaign. 

The Eagles got Hurts another weapon this week when they signed future Hall of Fame receiver Julio Jones, but it's not clear if Jones is ready to debut yet. With Quez Watkins (hamstring) landing on injured reserve, Jones could settle in as the Eagles' No. 3 receiver behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith once he's game ready.

Philadelphia has scored at least 31 points in four straight home games, including the playoffs. That's tied for the second-longest such streak in team history. The Eagles are given an O/U of 26.5 points Sunday. The overall total of 52 points is easily the highest in Week 7, so it's no shock that DraftKings prices this as the +220 favorite for the highest-scoring game Sunday. It's +3000 to be the lowest-scoring game. Philly is the +600 favorite as highest-scoring team on the Sunday slate with Miami at +800.

On the Super Bowl exacta odds at DK, Dolphins to beat Eagles is +4000, and the reverse is the same price. Only eight combinations are higher, with Chiefs/49ers both ways as the +1600 favorites.

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