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    Dolphins 2022 NFL odds, trends: Big bets galore at sportsbooks on Miami and Tua Tagovailoa futures

    Bettors seem very optimistic on the 2022 Miami Dolphins and QB Tua Tagovailoa.

    It was quite a tumultuous offseason for the Miami Dolphins off the field with the Brian Flores lawsuit and subsequent tampering penalties placed on the franchise and owner Stephen Ross for trying to lure Tom Brady and Sean Payton to Miami. It was also a positive offseason with the team trading for electric Pro Bowl receiver Tyreek Hill to give Tua Tagovailoa a game-breaking weapon in a make-or-break season for the QB. There have been a handful of big bets on the Dolphins recently at Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM.

    This week, a Caesars bettor in Tennessee put $3,000 on Tagovailoa at +7500 to win NFL MVP and then another dropped $2,000 on Tua at +6000. He does seem in a better position to succeed with Hill and an offensive-minded head coach in ex-49ers offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel, who committed and reached out to Tua immediately after getting hired.

    Tagovailoa is down to +5000 to win MVP and now has gotten the ninth-most money on that prop at Caesars, ahead of the likes of four-time winner Aaron Rodgers, 2018 winner Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott and Matthew Stafford.

    After throwing for 2,653 yards and 16 touchdowns last year in 13 games, Tagovailoa is set at over/under 3,850.5 yards and 25.5 touchdowns in 2022. He's +3000 to lead the NFL in passing yards – only Dan Marino has done that with the Fins – and +3500 to lead in passing TDs.

    Miami is set at over/under 8.5 wins, but you can bet alternate win totals at any site. A bettor at BetMGM this week dropped a whopping $900,000 on the Dolphins to win more than an alternate number of 7.5 games at -250, which would win $360,000. Overall, 77 percent of wagers at BetMGM are on the Miami Over their standard win total of 8.5.

    Another bettor at that site placed $100,000 to win $135,000 on the Dolphins at +135 to make the playoffs, which they haven't done since 2016. A total of 83 percent of wagers at BetMGM are on Miami to play extra football. Finally, the Dolphins are +4000 to win Super Bowl 57, and a BetMGM bettor in Tennessee put down $10,000 to win $400,000.

    Miami is -3 at home for the season opener vs. New England and there is one piece of injury news: McDaniel said he is "very, very, very confident" receiver Jaylen Waddle (lower body) will be ready for the opener even though he hasn't been practicing for several weeks. Waddle, Tua's former teammate at Alabama, was great as a rookie with 104 catches for 1,015 yards and six scores. He is set at over/under 85.5 catches, 925.5 yards and 5.5 scores this year. 

    Which Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Join SportsLine now to get Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Jonathan Taylor's huge season, and find out.     

    Matt Severance
    Matt SeveranceSeverance Pays

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