Last week, the Optimizer stepped in it. We had two different Broncos receivers out there, based on the bright idea Peyton Manning might have some positive regression coming his way. Instead, Manning suffered through the worst game of his life and then revealed a foot injury that may hold the key to all of his struggles. That injury may give him an excuse for his play, but it doesn't change the fact we took a big swing and missed a week ago and have to make up for it.

The good news is, this is a good week to bounce back. Some of the same principles that led to the decisions last week are still there -- we're betting on regression candidates in Week 11 -- however there are also some really sound, safe plays that should provide a nice floor. The running backs might combine for 45 touches this week, for instance. And the tight end is on pace for one of the best seasons at the position by anyone not named Gronkowski.